Category: Hannah-Beth Jackson

Mar 08 2012

SD-19: Republican Mike Stoker to Run for California State Senate

Share

Mitt Romney and Mike Stoker in January of this year

There has been speculation for many months that former Santa Barabara County Supervisor Mike Stoker would run for California state Senate. He announced his candidacy yesterday.

From the steps of the Santa Barbara County Courthouse Sunken Garden yesterday, former county supervisor Mike Stoker declared he’s running for the State Senate in the upcoming June primary race.

“The road to change the status quo in Sacramento starts here in Santa Barbara,” he said.

Standing in front of more than 50 supporters, Stoker also compared California’s debt-laden government to a sinking ship. (…)

After he finished reading from his prepared statement, Stoker passed the microphone to those who flanked him.

Among them were State Senator Tony Strickland and Santa Barbara City Councilman Frank Hotchkiss.

Stoker, a Republican, will face Santa Barbara Democrat former Assemblywoman Hannah-Beth Jackson and Oxnard Democrat Firefighter and Oxnard Harbor District Commissioner Jason Hodge in the June Primary Top Two election.

53 per cent of SD-19 is in Ventura County and includes the City of Camarillo where Stoker was raised and where his parents continue to reside.

This should be a very lively race, especially with the Democrat on Democrat machinations.

Share

Jan 30 2012

SD-19 Poll Watch: Mike Stoker Beating Hannah-Beth Jackson in Jason Hodge Sponsored Poll

Share

The newly redistricted California State Senate District 19

Scott Lay over at Around the Capital has this Nooner poll result.

A polling memo on SD19 conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang for Jason Hodge made the rounds this weekend. While it suspiciously doesn’t include wording and other critical details, the headline is that either Hodge or Hannah-Beth Jackson could have trouble beating former Santa Barbara supervisor Mike Stoker (R). Here are the general election matchups:

Stoker  47%
Jackson  42%

Stoker  42%
Hodge  41%

Hodge 39%
Jackson 35%

Whoa? This is a seat that Obama won by 23 points and Brown won by 6.2%. (emphasis mine)

This poll by Hodge’s campaign pollsters is an outlier if I have ever seen one. Or, it is just a fabrication.

In the three way June primary election it splits this way:

  • Hodge 30%
  • Stoker 30%
  • Jackson 24%

I understand that a run by Mike Stoker is not even a certainty, since his polling shows him in a futile race against either of the two Democrats in the general. This district is a tough race for any Republican in the general election.

This poll is an attempt by Oxnard Firefighter Jason Hodge to influence Sacramento money follks to fund his campaign against Hannah-Beth Taxin’ Jackson who has a firm Democratic base of support in Lefty Santa Barbara.

And, what about, if Senator Fran Pavley should decide to move to her Oxnard beach house?

I would say this poll is probably NOT a fair picture of the state of this race.

Share